Homberg vs Turu 1880 Dusseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
SWE
2 - 3
VFB
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
VFB
1 - 0
WEG
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
DUR
3 - 3
VFB
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
VFB
4 - 2
FCB
44%
24%
31%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
VFB
0 - 2
BOR
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Turu 1880 Dusseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
DUS
0 - 0
BSC
33%
25%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
MSV
2 - 1
DUS
55%
22%
24%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
DUS
1 - 3
AAA
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
USO
1 - 1
DUS
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
DUS
1 - 1
SPE
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |