Homberg vs Sonsbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VFB
0 - 1
CRO
58%
21%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BOS
2 - 3
VFB
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 1
VFB
72%
17%
12%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 2
KAP
35%
24%
41%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
HNI
1 - 2
VFB
46%
24%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sonsbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SON
2 - 1
SPE
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CRO
0 - 1
SON
47%
24%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
SON
3 - 1
WUL
75%
16%
10%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
KFI
2 - 1
SON
42%
24%
35%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
SON
2 - 4
RWO
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |