Homberg vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
45.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
KRA
1 - 1
VFB
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VFB
1 - 0
HNI
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 3
VFB
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
DUS
0 - 2
VFB
62%
21%
18%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
VFB
0 - 3
KFC
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SFB
3 - 0
DUS
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
KFC
0 - 0
SFB
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SFB
1 - 3
GRA
53%
22%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -3 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 1
SFB
15%
17%
68%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SFB
4 - 1
KAP
51%
23%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |