Homberg vs SF Baumberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
34.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
JDH
1 - 1
VFB
63%
20%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SWE
2 - 2
VFB
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VFB
1 - 4
SON
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VFB
0 - 1
CRO
58%
21%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BOS
2 - 3
VFB
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
SFB
0 - 0
CRO
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 2
SFB
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 1
SFB
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SFB
0 - 2
KFC
16%
20%
64%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SWE
2 - 1
SFB
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |