Homberg vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RWO
2 - 2
VFB
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VFB
1 - 1
HIL
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NIE
1 - 1
VFB
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
HNI
3 - 0
VFB
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
VFB
0 - 1
KFI
38%
24%
39%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SWE
3 - 1
HNI
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
KFI
1 - 0
SWE
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SWE
0 - 1
MSV
27%
24%
49%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DUS
2 - 1
SWE
55%
23%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
SWE
1 - 2
SFB
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |