Homberg vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
KAP
0 - 0
VFB
39%
23%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
VFB
2 - 2
MSV
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ESS
2 - 4
VFB
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SFB
1 - 1
VFB
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
VFB
1 - 0
WES
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
SWE
5 - 0
WES
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SPE
0 - 3
SWE
26%
24%
51%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SWE
2 - 2
RHE
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
DUS
3 - 1
SWE
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SWE
0 - 1
WUP
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |