Homberg vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
WEG
2 - 3
VFB
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VFB
2 - 1
DUR
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
KLE
2 - 3
VFB
69%
17%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FCB
1 - 1
VFB
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
WUP
3 - 2
VFB
46%
24%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
SWE
2 - 1
BSC
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MSV
1 - 5
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SWE
1 - 2
AAA
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
USO
1 - 1
SWE
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SWE
1 - 1
SPE
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |