Homberg vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ROD
0 - 1
VFB
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
VFB
1 - 1
WEG
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 0
VFB
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
VFB
0 - 2
BOR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
VFB
3 - 4
VFB
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RWA
1 - 1
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
KÖL
1 - 1
RWA
68%
20%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
RWA
0 - 0
WUP
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
STR
3 - 2
RWA
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
RWA
3 - 0
GIE
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |