Homberg vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
75.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
VFB
0 - 3
S04
19%
21%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
PRE
2 - 0
VFB
84%
12%
4%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
VFB
0 - 3
BSC
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
WEG
2 - 1
VFB
57%
21%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
VFB
0 - 2
FOR
28%
23%
49%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 1
FOR
76%
15%
8%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
ROT
1 - 1
ROT
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ROT
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
ROT
1 - 0
SPO
77%
15%
9%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ROT
1 - 1
WUP
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |