Homberg vs Nievenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
VFB
1 - 2
HNI
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
KFI
0 - 2
VFB
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VFB
1 - 1
MSV
15%
21%
64%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DUS
1 - 1
VFB
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
VFB
3 - 3
SFB
49%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nievenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
NIE
1 - 2
SON
28%
23%
50%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
HNI
1 - 0
NIE
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NIE
0 - 5
BOS
18%
20%
63%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
KFI
3 - 3
NIE
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NIE
0 - 4
FCB
18%
21%
62%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |