Homberg vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
AAA
4 - 0
VFB
41%
25%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
VFB
3 - 1
USO
57%
22%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
SPE
3 - 3
VFB
24%
24%
52%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
VFB
1 - 3
DJK
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | -7 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
VFB
0 - 0
TSV
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
MSV
0 - 7
BSC
64%
21%
16%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
MSV
0 - 3
KLE
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
AAA
2 - 1
MSV
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
MSV
2 - 1
USO
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 2
MSV
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +1 |