Homberg vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
57.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
VFB
2 - 4
FOR
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BOR
3 - 0
VFB
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
VFB
3 - 4
TUS
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AAA
1 - 1
VFB
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
VFB
1 - 3
WUP
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
DIE
0 - 3
BOR
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
TUS
1 - 3
DIE
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DIE
4 - 2
AAA
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
WUP
0 - 1
DIE
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
DIE
1 - 3
SPO
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |