Homberg vs Kleve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
ROT
1 - 0
VFB
75%
17%
9%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
VFB
0 - 3
VEL
37%
24%
40%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
VEL
5 - 2
VFB
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
VFB
5 - 1
WUP
52%
23%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
FCJ
4 - 3
VFB
35%
24%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kleve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
KLE
0 - 0
AAA
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
BER
2 - 0
KLE
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
KLE
3 - 4
AAA
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
WEG
2 - 4
KLE
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
USO
2 - 1
KLE
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |