Homberg vs KFC Uerdingen 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BER
3 - 1
VFB
45%
25%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
VFB
1 - 0
BSC
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BOR
4 - 1
VFB
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
VFB
2 - 0
SPE
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 0
VFB
61%
20%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
KFC Uerdingen 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
KFC
2 - 4
DUS
61%
23%
16%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
AAA
0 - 2
KFC
54%
25%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
KFC
3 - 1
WUP
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
BAY
1 - 1
KFC
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
KFC
1 - 3
SWE
34%
27%
40%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |