Homberg vs Kapellen-Erft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SCH
3 - 1
VFB
66%
18%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VFB
1 - 0
SWE
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
SPE
2 - 2
VFB
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
VFB
1 - 1
HIL
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
DUS
2 - 2
VFB
45%
22%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
KAP
1 - 0
DUS
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
KAP
1 - 3
KFC
21%
23%
56%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CRO
4 - 1
KAP
29%
22%
50%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
KAP
2 - 1
VEL
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SCH
4 - 0
KAP
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |