Homberg vs Kapellen-Erft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MSV
4 - 0
VFB
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VFB
1 - 1
ESS
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VFB
1 - 1
SFB
58%
21%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
WES
0 - 3
VFB
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
VFB
2 - 0
SPE
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
KAP
1 - 1
WES
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
SPE
3 - 1
KAP
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
KAP
5 - 0
RHE
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
DUS
6 - 3
KAP
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
KAP
2 - 2
WUP
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +2 |