Homberg vs Kapellen-Erft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
40.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
HNI
1 - 2
VFB
46%
24%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
VFB
4 - 2
SPE
30%
24%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
UED
0 - 1
VFB
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
RHE
3 - 0
VFB
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
WUL
2 - 1
VFB
17%
21%
62%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Kapellen-Erft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
KAP
3 - 0
BOS
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
KFC
1 - 1
KAP
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
KAP
3 - 2
SWE
27%
23%
49%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
RWO
1 - 2
KAP
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
KAP
0 - 0
GRA
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |