Homberg vs Jahn Hiesfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
NET
1 - 1
VFB
10%
16%
74%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VFB
5 - 0
VEL
81%
12%
6%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 5
VFB
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
VFB
1 - 1
FCB
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
DUS
2 - 2
VFB
11%
17%
72%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Jahn Hiesfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MEE
3 - 1
JDH
73%
15%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
JDH
1 - 1
NET
34%
23%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
JDH
3 - 4
VEL
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 0
JDH
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
JDH
1 - 1
KLE
30%
23%
47%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |