Homberg vs Jahn Hiesfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
SON
0 - 1
VFB
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 0
VFB
24%
23%
54%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VFB
3 - 0
BOS
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
KFC
1 - 1
VFB
80%
14%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
VFB
0 - 2
SWE
22%
23%
54%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Jahn Hiesfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
JDH
2 - 2
CRO
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
BOS
2 - 0
JDH
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
JDH
1 - 2
KFC
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 1
JDH
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JDH
1 - 0
RWO
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |