Homberg vs Hilden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
55.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NIE
1 - 1
VFB
22%
21%
57%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
HNI
3 - 0
VFB
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
VFB
0 - 1
KFI
38%
24%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MSV
3 - 0
VFB
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VFB
1 - 3
DUS
42%
24%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
HIL
2 - 1
SFB
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JDH
3 - 6
HIL
54%
22%
25%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
HIL
5 - 2
KAP
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VEL
6 - 1
HIL
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
HIL
1 - 0
SON
62%
20%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |