Homberg vs Hamborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
WER
3 - 1
VFB
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
VFB
0 - 3
SWE
21%
23%
55%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 0
VFB
77%
16%
8%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 2
DOR
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 3
VFB
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Hamborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2002 |
HAM
3 - 3
VEL
19%
22%
59%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
SWE
2 - 1
HAM
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
HAM
0 - 3
BOR
35%
26%
40%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
AAA
3 - 1
HAM
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
HAM
1 - 1
WUP
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | +2 |