Homberg vs Düren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
KLE
2 - 3
VFB
69%
17%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
FCB
1 - 1
VFB
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
WUP
3 - 2
VFB
46%
24%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BOR
1 - 1
VFB
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
VFB
0 - 3
BSC
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Düren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
DUR
1 - 1
BSC
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
DUR
1 - 0
SPE
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MSV
4 - 2
DUR
45%
23%
31%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
DUR
1 - 0
AAA
41%
24%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
USO
2 - 2
DUR
73%
17%
11%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |