Homberg vs Germania Windeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
DUS
0 - 2
VFB
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
WUP
0 - 1
VFB
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
VFB
1 - 1
AAA
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
VFB
1 - 4
BAY
16%
21%
63%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 0
VFB
66%
19%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Germania Windeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
BOR
4 - 0
GEW
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
GEW
4 - 1
SPE
42%
26%
32%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
GEW
0 - 1
DUS
37%
26%
37%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
AAA
3 - 1
GEW
53%
24%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
GEW
2 - 0
VEL
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |