Homberg vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FOR
4 - 0
VFB
67%
18%
16%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
VFB
0 - 2
LIP
48%
22%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
MSV
1 - 1
VFB
87%
10%
3%
|
32 | 65 | 33 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
VFB
2 - 0
DUS
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 0
VFB
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
KÖL
3 - 0
STR
40%
25%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BER
0 - 2
KÖL
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
DUR
3 - 0
KÖL
15%
21%
63%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
H05
1 - 2
KÖL
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
KÖL
3 - 1
ELV
21%
23%
57%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |