Homberg vs Düsseldorf-West analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
FCB
1 - 2
VFB
13%
20%
67%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
VFB
3 - 1
DUS
83%
12%
6%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
HIL
0 - 1
VFB
19%
19%
62%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
VFB
4 - 2
SCH
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
1FC
1 - 1
VFB
14%
16%
70%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Düsseldorf-West
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
1FC
1 - 3
DUS
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
DUS
2 - 1
MEE
35%
24%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 1
DUS
62%
20%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
DUS
0 - 4
KLE
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FSV
1 - 2
DUS
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |