Homberg vs Cronenberger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
JDH
2 - 3
VFB
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
VEL
3 - 1
VFB
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
VFB
3 - 0
KFI
45%
23%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
DUS
2 - 2
VFB
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
VFB
0 - 2
SFB
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Cronenberger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CRO
1 - 2
SFB
15%
19%
66%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CRO
1 - 2
SCH
20%
20%
59%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SPE
0 - 1
CRO
68%
17%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 2
STR
24%
21%
55%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
TSG
4 - 1
CRO
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 67 | 44 | 0 |