Homberg vs Bösinghoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
KFC
1 - 1
VFB
80%
14%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
VFB
0 - 2
SWE
22%
23%
54%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
RWO
1 - 3
VFB
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VFB
3 - 3
GRA
32%
24%
45%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
KAP
1 - 0
VFB
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bösinghoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BOS
2 - 1
CRO
56%
22%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 1
SON
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
KFC
4 - 1
BOS
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
BOS
2 - 3
SWE
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
RWO
0 - 1
BOS
72%
17%
12%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |