Homberg vs Bonner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
WIE
0 - 0
VFB
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
VFB
0 - 4
ROT
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 2
VFB
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
VFB
3 - 1
DIE
13%
19%
68%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +6 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
AAA
2 - 0
VFB
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
BSC
0 - 1
STR
19%
22%
59%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BER
2 - 0
BSC
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
BSC
1 - 0
ROD
11%
18%
71%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
S04
2 - 1
BSC
69%
20%
12%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
BSC
1 - 6
ROT
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -2 |