Homberg vs Bonner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BOR
4 - 1
VFB
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
VFB
2 - 0
SPE
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
VEL
2 - 0
VFB
61%
20%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VFB
2 - 3
FOR
61%
20%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 1
VFB
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BSC
1 - 2
DUS
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
AAA
3 - 2
BSC
38%
27%
35%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BSC
3 - 1
WUP
68%
20%
12%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
BAY
3 - 0
BSC
78%
15%
8%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
BSC
0 - 1
SWE
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |