Homberg vs B. Leverkusen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 0
VFB
66%
19%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
VFB
3 - 1
KFC
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BER
3 - 1
VFB
45%
25%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
VFB
1 - 0
BSC
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BOR
4 - 1
VFB
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
BAY
2 - 1
DUS
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
AAA
0 - 1
BAY
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
BAY
2 - 2
WUP
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
BAY
1 - 0
GEW
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 0
BAY
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |