Homberg vs Alemannia Aachen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
KÖL
2 - 0
VFB
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
ROT
1 - 0
VFB
76%
17%
8%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
VFB
0 - 5
GAL
10%
19%
72%
|
27 | 85 | 58 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
VFB
2 - 4
DUS
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
AAA
5 - 1
VFB
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
AAA
2 - 3
ERK
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
AAA
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
AAA
0 - 1
HUL
62%
21%
18%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 0
AAA
39%
26%
35%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
VEL
5 - 0
AAA
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |