VfB Gießen vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Gießen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2000 |
JUG
2 - 4
VFB
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
VFB
5 - 0
SVB
46%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
SGH
2 - 1
VFB
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
VFB
4 - 0
LOH
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
FRA
4 - 1
VFB
59%
23%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2000 |
MAR
4 - 1
BHE
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
SGH
1 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
MAR
2 - 1
VFU
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
KIC
2 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 4
BAU
26%
25%
49%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -2 |