Vevey Sports vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vevey Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
FCL
5 - 1
VEV
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
VEV
0 - 2
FCA
41%
26%
32%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
YOB
2 - 2
VEV
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
VEV
1 - 0
BEL
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
STG
2 - 0
VEV
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1986 |
LOC
0 - 0
STG
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
LOC
0 - 2
GCZ
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
SER
5 - 2
LOC
80%
14%
7%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
LOC
5 - 1
LAU
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
LOC
2 - 2
FCL
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |