Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 6-0
Vetra vs Grevenmacher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vetra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 3
VET
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
KRU
0 - 3
VET
16%
25%
59%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 1
VET
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
VET
2 - 1
FAS
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
FKT
1 - 1
VET
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Grevenmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 3
VET
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SWI
1 - 3
GRE
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GRE
6 - 0
ETZ
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 2
GRE
18%
23%
60%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
DIF
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |