UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
Vetra vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vetra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
VET
1 - 0
HIB
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
HIB
1 - 1
VET
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
TRA
0 - 1
VET
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
SIL
1 - 1
VET
27%
24%
48%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
VET
3 - 0
TRA
48%
23%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
ESB
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
ESB
1 - 0
NIC
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
NSI
0 - 4
ESB
24%
23%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
ESB
3 - 1
NSI
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ESB
6 - 3
BKF
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |