Vertou vs Mondeville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
VER
0 - 1
LOC
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
DIN
0 - 3
VER
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
VER
3 - 0
GRA
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
STA
3 - 1
VER
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
LAV
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mondeville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
LAN
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LOC
1 - 0
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
DIN
1 - 0
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
STA
47%
24%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |