Vertou vs Granville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vertou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
STA
3 - 1
VER
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
LAV
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
VER
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
BRE
40%
25%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 0
VER
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Granville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 0
LOC
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 1
LAV
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 2
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MON
3 - 0
GRA
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GRA
4 - 2
LAN
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |