Verspah Oita vs Baleine Shimonoseki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verspah Oita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
YOK
2 - 1
VER
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VER
0 - 4
VEK
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TIA
0 - 2
VER
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
VER
1 - 0
MAR
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
HON
0 - 1
VER
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Baleine Shimonoseki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
MMM
3 - 1
BAS
81%
13%
7%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FCF
1 - 0
BAS
80%
13%
8%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | -1 |