Coppa Italia Primavera Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Hellas Verona U19 vs Roma U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hellas Verona U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PUB
2 - 1
VER
29%
22%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
VER
3 - 1
FRO
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VER
2 - 3
VIR
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SPA
2 - 0
VER
42%
23%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
CAG
1 - 6
VER
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Roma U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ROM
1 - 2
TOR
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
ATA
1 - 4
ROM
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 2
ROM
15%
18%
67%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SAM
5 - 4
ROM
23%
21%
56%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ROM
2 - 1
PES
72%
15%
13%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |