Vernier vs Stade Nyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Nyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
STA
2 - 0
SER
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
THU
9 - 0
STA
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
STA
2 - 1
LEM
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
STA
2 - 7
WIN
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 0
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |