Vernier vs Perly-Certoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
44.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vernier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
VEY
1 - 0
VER
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VER
0 - 0
PLO
64%
20%
17%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
VER
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
VER
2 - 3
SEC
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAX
4 - 2
VER
33%
24%
44%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
PER
5 - 2
SEC
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PLO
2 - 3
PER
31%
23%
47%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
SER
2 - 0
PER
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
PER
3 - 2
UGS
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 3
PER
13%
20%
67%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |