Vernier vs Perly-Certoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vernier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
VER
16%
20%
64%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VER
2 - 2
COL
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FCA
5 - 2
VER
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
VER
0 - 7
STA
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | -2 |
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
COL
3 - 0
PER
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
PER
3 - 2
FCL
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
STA
0 - 3
PER
78%
15%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BEX
4 - 3
PER
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
PER
0 - 3
COL
39%
24%
38%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |