Vernier vs Collex-Bossy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vernier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SEC
3 - 2
VER
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VER
2 - 2
SAX
51%
22%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
VER
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VER
0 - 2
VEV
25%
22%
53%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
UGS
1 - 1
VER
74%
15%
10%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Collex-Bossy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
COL
3 - 0
SAX
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VEV
0 - 1
COL
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COL
2 - 2
SIE
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DAR
0 - 1
COL
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COL
2 - 2
PER
65%
18%
16%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |