Vernier vs Chippis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vernier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
FCA
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 1
VER
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VER
3 - 1
SER
13%
19%
69%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +4 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
VER
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
SIE
17%
20%
64%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Chippis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SER
4 - 1
CHI
85%
10%
4%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 2
PER
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SIE
5 - 1
CHI
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 2
FCR
15%
21%
65%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MON
0 - 4
CHI
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +3 |