Vermont vs UMass Lowell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VER
2 - 0
UAY
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NHW
1 - 1
VER
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
VER
2 - 0
HHH
73%
16%
12%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NJH
0 - 1
VER
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
VER
2 - 1
MBC
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UMass Lowell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
UML
6 - 0
HHH
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SBS
1 - 3
UML
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
UML
1 - 2
UAY
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
UML
0 - 1
BUB
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UML
2 - 1
MBC
30%
22%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |