Verlaine vs Hutoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
4.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+3025%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
18º
15º
25
8º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 76 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 64 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 58 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 31 |
16º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 30 |
17º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 24 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
79% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verlaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ENT
3 - 0
VER
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
LAC
40%
24%
37%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GAN
1 - 2
VER
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BET
1 - 0
VER
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VER
0 - 2
LIE
12%
19%
69%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Hutoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RUH
0 - 3
ACR
8%
12%
81%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAL
0 - 0
RUH
88%
8%
4%
|
11 | 48 | 37 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RUH
1 - 1
KAS
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RUH
2 - 4
BED
10%
13%
77%
|
12 | 48 | 36 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RUH
6 - 2
LAN
12%
16%
72%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | +4 |