Verlaine vs Hutoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
4.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+212%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
15º
11º
5
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
11 | 71 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 63 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 59 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 59 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 58 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 58 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 55 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 55 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 51 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 43 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 40 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 36 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 21 |
17º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 18 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verlaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ENT
3 - 0
VER
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
LAC
40%
24%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GAN
1 - 2
VER
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BET
1 - 0
VER
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VER
0 - 2
LIE
12%
19%
69%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Hutoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RUH
0 - 3
ACR
8%
12%
81%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAL
0 - 0
RUH
88%
8%
4%
|
10 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RUH
1 - 1
KAS
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RUH
2 - 4
BED
10%
13%
77%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
RUH
6 - 2
LAN
12%
16%
72%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | +4 |