Verlaine vs Union Namur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
7º
59
2º
18º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
79% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 51 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 48 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
65.5% | |
|
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
91.5% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 19 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 79% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 21% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verlaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
VER
63%
20%
16%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
VER
2 - 1
TUB
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
GAN
0 - 0
VER
68%
20%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VER
3 - 0
STO
46%
22%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
VER
0 - 3
LIE
19%
23%
59%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Union Namur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 0
WAR
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
REB
2 - 3
NAM
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BIN
3 - 0
NAM
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 2
SGI
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 2
EXC
22%
23%
56%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |