Verlaine vs Acren Lessines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
13º
13º
33
1º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
62% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
45% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 34 |
16º
|
86.5% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verlaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 2
VER
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BIN
3 - 2
VER
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VER
0 - 1
LAL
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 1
VER
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VER
2 - 1
ROC
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Acren Lessines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ACR
1 - 3
BIN
37%
24%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TUB
1 - 0
ACR
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ACR
3 - 3
VER
25%
23%
53%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HAM
2 - 1
ACR
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ACR
3 - 3
TOU
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |