Verl vs Emsdetten 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
FBI
3 - 2
VER
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VER
0 - 0
GUT
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SPR
1 - 1
VER
19%
20%
62%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
LIP
0 - 1
VER
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
VER
1 - 1
LSV
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Emsdetten 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
SVE
1 - 3
RWA
49%
23%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
KOR
0 - 3
SVE
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SVE
3 - 0
ABI
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
FBI
1 - 1
SVE
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
SVE
2 - 0
WAT
32%
24%
45%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +4 |