Verl vs Stadtlohn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
KOR
2 - 1
VER
13%
18%
69%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VER
4 - 0
SVE
73%
16%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
FBI
3 - 2
VER
21%
22%
57%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
VER
0 - 0
GUT
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SPR
1 - 1
VER
19%
20%
62%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Stadtlohn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
SVE
0 - 1
STA
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
STA
0 - 5
RWA
34%
25%
40%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -3 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SCH
2 - 0
STA
33%
25%
42%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
STA
2 - 3
ABI
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
STA
2 - 0
KOR
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |